- Technical Stochastic indicators such as the RSI are demonstrating huge divergences on multiple longer term timeframes. Eventually this situation resolves itself, in this case, downard.
- We have reached major fibonacci retraces on time and price that signify that this rally has met all anticipated targets and we are due to begin Wave C.
- On a positive note, the market has now pierced a major trendline that has defined this market and it will be critical to see if this is a breakout or a fakeout.
- New Highs have not confirmed this recent rally. The number of new highs is significantly lower than the prior high.
- Volume is not confirming the rally across a variety of time frames, particularly on the daily.
- The advance decline line is showing a large divergence
- We are wedging yet again which has been a decent indicator
I am anticipating a possible final 5th wave surge higher, but 5th waves can truncate as well. Timing wise, this could be coinciding with a disappointing Thanksgiving sales season. We'll see how the spin masters spin it.
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